- Title:
-
Medium Range Forecasts of Fire Weather Indices: An assessment of canonical correlation based forecasts from
- Date:
- December 2005
- Organisations
- NZFS
- Authors:
- Tony Simmers
-
Location:
-
New Zealand,
New Zealand
Overview
Rural fire authorities use indices of fire weather and fire danger to assess current conditions, and also to anticipate future fire risk. This report describes and evaluates a forecast system that extends the lead-time at which forecasts of fire weather indices are available to beyond day-7. The forecasts are based on a statistical approach that matches patterns in how computer models see the weather around New Zealand, to patterns in the observed weather at individual sites around the country.
